SUPPORT US

Energy Security Forum Newsletter

ESF_Montage.JPG

PAST NEWSLETTERS

Main Takeaways for the week of February 23, 2022

Russia moves into Eastern Ukraine, moving the pieces into position for a wider invasion. Sanctions on investment in the occupied regions and on Nord Stream 2 are unlikely to change Russia's calculations. China provides limited support for Russia, but even that may be a mistake as the world organizes itself into four poles, with China aligning itself with the Russia against the EU and U.S. Shell sees increasing tightness in global LNG markets. Indonesia will be keeping more of its domestically produced coal. Japan’s Nippon Steel asks for massive subsidies for decarbonization, as JERA seeks 500 mtpa of ammonia. Nickel hits a decade high on concerns over Russian supply.


Featured Article

Supply Chain Resilience Key to the Future of a Global and Local Automobile Market, by Sarah Goldfeder for the Canadian Global Affairs Institute


Headlines

Global Petroleum Liquids

Global LNG 

Global Coal

North American Energy Infrastructure

U.S. - China Energy Relations

  • No significant developments

EU – Russia Energy Relations

China – Russia Energy Relations

U.S. - Canada Energy Relations

  • No significant developments

Middle East Energy Geopolitics

  • No significant developments

Central Asia Energy Geopolitics

Canadian Oil and Gas

Electricity

Renewables

Copper

  • No significant developments

Lithium

Nickel

Cobalt

  • No significant developments

Carbon/Graphite

Hydrogen

Nuclear

Biofuels

  • No significant developments

Quotes

Although war in Ukraine would not pose an immediate military threat to Estonia or NATO, Russia’s political and military pressure on the Baltic states could increase in the long term should Russia achieve diplomatic and/or military success on the Ukraine issue. Even if Russia’s leadership can be persuaded to desist from military aggression, Estonia and other Western countries must prepare for increasingly sustained military pressure from Russia – direct threats of war have become an integral part of the foreign policy of Putin’s Russia over the past year.

 

If Moscow can demonstrate that Western security guarantees mean little, then it can contrast Western abandonment of Hosni Mubarak in Egypt, Ashraf Ghani in Afghanistan, and Ukraine, with Russia’s determined support of Bashar Al-Assad. Though this pitch may be unpalatable to publics it is more appealing to governments.

  • From The Plot to Destroy Ukraine, by Jack Watling and Nick Reynolds for the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies

 

Chinese strategists view Russia, the United States, and Europe as the most important determinants of the global balance of power. They have long seen Europe’s dreams of a multipolar world as aligned with their own. By cementing the split between Russia and Europe, a Russian invasion of Ukraine would thus risk dividing the most important powers into two blocs—Russia and China on one side and the United States and Europe on the other—re-creating the Cold War security arrangements that China claims to vehemently oppose. Making matters worse, China would be aligned with the weakest of the three other powers.


Showing 1 reaction

Please check your e-mail for a link to activate your account.
SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTERS
 
UPCOMING EVENTS
SEARCH
LATEST TWEETS

HEAD OFFICE
Canadian Global Affairs Institute
Suite 1800, 150–9th Avenue SW
Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2P 3H9

 

OTTAWA OFFICE
Canadian Global Affairs Institute
8 York Street, 2nd Floor
Ottawa, Ontario, Canada K1N 5S6

 

Phone: (613) 288-2529
Email: [email protected]
Web: cgai.ca

 

Making sense of our complex world.
Déchiffrer la complexité de notre monde.

 

© 2002-2022 Canadian Global Affairs Institute
Charitable Registration No. 87982 7913 RR0001

 


Sign in with Facebook | Sign in with Twitter | Sign in with Email